Mathematics

Health Services and Nursing Scenario
Topic 1 Predicting Expected Medicare Payers
Scenario 1 Review data of the expected payers that used Medicare between 2003 and 2014. Predict the percentage of expected payers that will use Medicare in 2018.
Year County Zip Code Medicare payers
2003 Humbolt 90001 35612
2004 Humbolt 90001 37412
2005 Humbolt 90001 39841
2006 Humbolt 90001 40123
2007 Humbolt 90001 43122
2008 Humbolt 90001 44125
2009 Humbolt 90001 51229
2010 Humbolt 90001 59748
2011 Humbolt 90001 57008
2012 Humbolt 90001 56727
2013 Humbolt 90001 57985
2014 Humbolt 90001 63123

Topic 2 – Criminal Justice

Security and Criminal Justice Scenario
Topic 2 Predicting Total U.S. correctional population
Scenario 2 Review the data on persons supervised by U.S. adult correctional systems by correctional status. Predict the number of the United States population that will be supervised by U.S. adult correctional system in 2018.
Year Total U.S. correctional population Probation Parole
2000 6,467,800 3,839,400 725,500
2001 6,584,900 3,934,500 731,100
2002 6,730,900 3,995,000 753,100
2003 6,886,800 4,073,800 773,500
2004 6,997,000 4,140,400 775,900
2005 7,055,600 4,162,300 784,400
2006 7,199,700 4,236,800 798,200
2007 7,339,600 4,293,000 826,100
2008 7,313,600 4,270,100 828,200
2009 7,235,200 4,196,200 824,100
2010 7,086,500 4,053,600 840,700
2011 6,989,200 3,969,400 854,600
2012 6,945,100 3,940,800 857,800
2013 6,903,200 3,910,600 855,200
2014 6,851,000 3,864,100 856,900

Topic 3 – Hum. & Sciences

Humanities and Sciences Scenario
Topic 3 Predicted College Tuition and Fees
Scenario 3 Review college data of the yearly tuition and fees. Predict the cost of yearly tuition and fees in 2018.
Year Yearly Tuition Books & Supplies Living Costs Yearly Tuition and Fees
2015 $29,450 $1,250 $12,400 $44,190
2014 $24,444 $1,038 $10,292 $36,679
2013 $20,288 $861 $8,542 $30,442
2012 $17,245 $732 $7,261 $25,876
2011 $16,412 $625 $6,532 $24,112
2010 $15,984 $600 $5,899 $22,984
2009 $8,618 $1,200 $15,682 $25,770
2008 $7,153 $996 $13,016 $21,389
2007 $5,937 $827 $10,803 $17,753
2006 $14,658 $703 $9,183 $24,702
2005 $13,549 $699 $5,771 $20,142
2004 $12,435 $612 $5,256 $18,415

Topic 4 – Social Sciences

Social Sciences Scenario
Topic 4 Predicting Teen Communication Preferences
Scenario 4 Review the data on communication preferences with teens. Predict how many high school teens will prefer to use face-to-face communication in 2018.
Year Communication Preference Age School Level Number of Teens
2000 Face to Face Teen HS 87
2001 Face to Face Teen HS 98
2002 Face to Face Teen HS 86
2003 Face to Face Teen HS 76
2004 Face to Face Teen HS 55
2005 Face to Face Teen HS 49
2006 Face to Face Teen HS 50
2007 Face to Face Teen HS 43
2008 Face to Face Teen HS 42
2009 Face to Face Teen HS 36
2010 Face to Face Teen HS 23
2011 Face to Face Teen HS 30
2012 Face to Face Teen HS 15
2013 Face to Face Teen HS 13
2014 Face to Face Teen HS 8
2015 Face to Face Teen HS 5

Logarithmic Regression

Number of Teens

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 87 98 86 76 55 49 50 43 42 36 23 30 15 13 8 5

Year

Number of Teens

Topic 5 – Business

Business Scenario
Topic 5 Predicting Tires Purchased
Scenario 5 Review the yearly data involving tires purchased at a tire shop with declining business. Predict how many tires will need to be in stock to have available for the customers in 2018.
Year Tires Purchased Wheels Purchased Lugnuts Purchased
1996 20,478 20,018 28,592
1997 15,478 18,274 9,967
1998 11,148 13,086 11,148
1999 17,916 14,659 14,659
2000 13,390 9,697 8,080
2001 16,146 25,698 18,425
2002 18,456 32,237 15,132
2003 12,570 21,404 9,173
2004 16,243 14,993 7,184
2005 15,628 18,346 9,852
2006 18,063 14,193 6,999
2007 7,122 3,052 3,713
2008 6,649 3,740 3,586
2009 9,217 4,748 3,994
2010 6,235 3,662 2,733
2011 16,542 12,426 8,145
2012 12,459 8,743 11,405
2013 9,322 5,243 6,033
2014 8,704 4,687 4,491
2015 9,904 4,661 5,028

Topic 6 – Education

Education Scenario
Topic 6 Predicting SAT Test Scores
Scenario 6 Review the data on the average SAT scores of college-bound seniors between 2002 and 2015. Predict the average SAT scores of college-bound seniors in 2018.
Average SAT Mathematics of college-bound seniors
Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
All students Average 540 529 530 522 531 523 525 530 525 520 519 516 518 514
White 530 531 533 534 531 536 536 534 537 536 536 535 536 534
Black 426 426 427 426 427 431 429 429 426 426 428 427 428 429
Mexican American 460 458 457 457 458 463 465 466 463 463 467 466 465 464
Puerto Rican 566 451 451 453 452 457 456 454 453 450 452 452 452 453
Other Hispanic 467 465 464 464 465 469 463 463 461 461 462 462 461 461
Asian/Pacific Islander 565 566 569 575 577 580 578 578 581 587 591 595 595 597
American Indian/Alaska Native

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